Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | TCU -175 KU +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +5 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | TCU -0.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-27.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -1.2 (-6.2) | 151.7 (-30.7) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -1.5 (-6.5) | 146.8 (-25.8) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -1.0 (-6.0) | 150.6 (-29.6) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -1.0 (-6.0) | 151.4 (-30.4) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | KU 78 – 73 TCU |
| Jan 7, 2026 | KU 104 – 100 TCU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | KU 74 – 61 TCU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | KU 83 – 81 TCU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | TCU 83 – 60 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 28-8 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-4 | 15-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 13.7 (#17) | 16.9 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#28) | 3.42 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.04 (#18) | 4.04 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#77) | 0.655 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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