Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | KU -350 TCU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +23 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -8.1 (-31.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -6.0 (-29.0) | 148.6 (-5.6) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -7.1 (-30.1) | 149.0 (-6.0) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -7.4 (-30.4) | 147.0 (-4.0) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KU -6.7 (-29.7) | 146.5 (-3.5) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | KU 78 – 73 TCU |
| Jan 7, 2026 | KU 104 – 100 TCU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | KU 74 – 61 TCU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | KU 83 – 81 TCU |
| Feb 21, 2023 | KU 63 – 58 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-1 | 13-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 16.7 (#7) | 12.3 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.83 (#3) | 2.46 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.59 (#3) | 3.45 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.685 (#1) | 0.572 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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