Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Over |
| Money | KU -455 TCU +345 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +2 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | KU -5.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (+11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -5.8 (-3.8) | 152.4 (+11.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -6.2 (-4.2) | 151.7 (+12.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -6.2 (-4.2) | 148.1 (+15.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -5.6 (-3.6) | 148.1 (+15.9) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | KU 78 – 73 TCU |
| Jan 7, 2026 | KU 104 – 100 TCU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | KU 74 – 61 TCU |
| Feb 21, 2023 | KU 63 – 58 TCU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | TCU 83 – 60 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-1 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 14.0 (#24) | 12.7 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.82 (#5) | 2.33 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.68 (#5) | 2.89 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.667 (#5) | 0.545 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 49.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.76 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 37.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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