Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | SC +500 FLA -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +1 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | FLA -12.8 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -10.5 (+9.5) | 141.6 (-2.6) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -10.8 (+9.8) | 142.1 (-3.1) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -10.6 (+9.6) | 141.4 (-2.4) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -10.5 (+9.5) | 142.7 (-3.7) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | FLA 76 – 62 SC |
| Jan 29, 2026 | FLA 95 – 48 SC |
| Feb 16, 2025 | FLA 88 – 67 SC |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SC 82 – 76 FLA |
| Jan 26, 2023 | FLA 81 – 60 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 36-4 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 14-4 |
| Home | 10-8 | 15-1 |
| Away | 1-10 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 14-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | W12 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 84.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#89) | 22.2 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#83) | 3.72 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#81) | 5.40 (#4) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#86) | 0.638 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 45.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 15.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 40.8% |
| FT Rate | 30.9% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 42.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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