Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | FLA -6500 SC +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +14 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -21.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -17.9 (-3.9) | 149.6 (-11.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -19.2 (-5.2) | 150.6 (-12.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -21.0 (-7.0) | 151.5 (-13.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -21.9 (-7.9) | 152.4 (-14.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | FLA 95 – 48 SC |
| Feb 16, 2025 | FLA 88 – 67 SC |
| Jan 23, 2025 | FLA 70 – 69 SC |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SC 82 – 76 FLA |
| Jan 26, 2023 | FLA 81 – 60 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-1 | 11-8 |
| Away | 8-2 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 5-5 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.1 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 23.9 (#4) | 5.0 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.38 (#17) | 0.29 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.69 (#13) | 0.80 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.639 (#12) | 0.484 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 46.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 42.7% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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