Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | SC -138 FLA +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +6 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -0.2 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -0.9 (+5.1) | 147.8 (+10.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -1.6 (+4.4) | 148.1 (+9.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -2.5 (+3.5) | 148.9 (+9.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -1.8 (+4.2) | 148.0 (+10.0) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | FLA 76 – 62 SC |
| Jan 29, 2026 | FLA 95 – 48 SC |
| Feb 16, 2025 | FLA 88 – 67 SC |
| Jan 23, 2025 | FLA 70 – 69 SC |
| Jan 26, 2023 | FLA 81 – 60 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-1 |
| Away | 8-3 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 7-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 85.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 79.2 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#61) | 12.7 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.83 (#6) | 2.20 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.46 (#7) | 2.85 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#31) | 0.599 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 43.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 15.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 39.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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