Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | SC +700 FLA -1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +47 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | FLA -9.7 (-37.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -7.6 (-39.4) | 149.6 (-6.6) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -7.4 (-39.6) | 152.3 (-9.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -7.2 (-39.8) | 148.2 (-5.2) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -7.6 (-39.4) | 148.3 (-5.3) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | FLA 76 – 62 SC |
| Feb 16, 2025 | FLA 88 – 67 SC |
| Jan 23, 2025 | FLA 70 – 69 SC |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SC 82 – 76 FLA |
| Jan 26, 2023 | FLA 81 – 60 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 16-2 |
| Home | 11-8 | 14-1 |
| Away | 2-8 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 5-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 87.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#84) | 20.3 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#101) | 2.82 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#81) | 4.14 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#142) | 0.625 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 46.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 17.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 43.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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