Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | FLA -1600 SC +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +21 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -19.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -16.8 (+4.2) | 143.0 (+12.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -14.9 (+6.1) | 144.1 (+10.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -16.8 (+4.2) | 141.9 (+13.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -17.1 (+3.9) | 142.4 (+12.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | FLA 76 – 62 SC |
| Jan 29, 2026 | FLA 95 – 48 SC |
| Jan 23, 2025 | FLA 70 – 69 SC |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SC 82 – 76 FLA |
| Jan 26, 2023 | FLA 81 – 60 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 36-4 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 2-16 |
| Home | 15-1 | 10-8 |
| Away | 7-3 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 14-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W12 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.8 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 23.0 (#4) | 6.9 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.34 (#2) | 0.90 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.76 (#2) | 1.31 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.652 (#6) | 0.521 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 42.9 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 38.8% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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