Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | FLA -1600 SC +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +21 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -21.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -13.5 (+7.5) | 139.1 (+1.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -15.3 (+5.7) | 135.5 (+5.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -17.4 (+3.6) | 134.8 (+6.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -16.0 (+5.0) | 136.5 (+4.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | FLA 76 – 62 SC |
| Jan 29, 2026 | FLA 95 – 48 SC |
| Feb 16, 2025 | FLA 88 – 67 SC |
| Jan 23, 2025 | FLA 70 – 69 SC |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SC 82 – 76 FLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-6 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#39) | -7.2 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#65) | -0.24 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#64) | -0.68 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#69) | 0.473 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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