Betting Lines
| Spread | MAN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | MAN -155 FAIR +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAIR +3 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | MAN -8.1 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (+14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MAN -5.0 (-8.0) | 147.5 (+23.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MAN -4.7 (-7.7) | 145.8 (+25.2) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MAN -5.6 (-8.6) | 147.2 (+23.8) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MAN -6.1 (-9.1) | 147.8 (+23.2) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | FAIR 71 – 60 MAN |
| Jan 15, 2026 | FAIR 98 – 62 MAN |
| Dec 6, 2025 | MAN 70 – 66 FAIR |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MAN 80 – 67 FAIR |
| Feb 4, 2024 | FAIR 77 – 68 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#270) | -11.3 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#232) | -1.40 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#269) | -2.25 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#234) | 0.429 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.