Funky Claude was running in and out / pulling kids out the ground "Smoke On the Water" - Deep Purple
Ohio Valley Conference · First Community Arena · January 24, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SIUE -6.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Money SIUE -290 / USI +240
Model Predictions
Spread Total SIUE win
Actual SIUE +6 158 Won
Massey SIUE -8.4 (-2.4) — —
Massey Totals — 136.5 (+21.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 82% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 85% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SIUE -6.2 (-0.2) 137.5 (+20.5) 76% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SIUE -6.9 (-0.9) 137.7 (+20.3) 76% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SIUE -6.6 (-0.6) 134.9 (+23.1) 77% ✓
Baseline ML SIUE -6.6 (-0.6) 134.9 (+23.1) 74% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 1, 2026 SIUE 58 – 46 USI
Jan 1, 2026 SIUE 59 – 55 USI
Feb 23, 2025 USI 82 – 68 SIUE
Feb 11, 2024 USI 84 – 67 SIUE
Jan 12, 2024 SIUE 67 – 64 USI

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SIUE USI
Overall 22-12 10-20
Conference 13-7 5-15
Home 12-3 8-7
Away 7-8 2-13
Neutral 3-1 0-0
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 69.6 69.6
Avg Pts Against 68.3 75.1
Massey -4.2 (#231) -9.2 (#314)
Bradley-Terry -0.76 (#237) -1.66 (#315)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.19 (#253) -2.23 (#312)
RPI 0.460 (#242) 0.398 (#332)
Shooting & Four Factors SIUE USI
FG% 42.3% 42.7%
3PT% 34.5% 34.8%
REB / G 36.9 34.8
OREB / G 11.7 10.2
AST / TO 1.06 0.86
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.9% 48.2%
TOV% 17.7% 17.2%
ORB% 31.6% 28.4%
FT Rate 18.6% 24.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.2% 52.2%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 17.7%
DRB% 70.5% 69.2%
Opp FT Rate 24.0% 26.1%

Game Analysis

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