Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | SIUE -290 USI +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +6 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -8.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (+21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -6.9 (-0.9) | 137.7 (+20.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -6.6 (-0.6) | 134.9 (+23.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -6.6 (-0.6) | 134.9 (+23.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -6.2 (-0.2) | 137.5 (+20.5) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SIUE 58 – 46 USI |
| Jan 1, 2026 | SIUE 59 – 55 USI |
| Feb 23, 2025 | USI 82 – 68 SIUE |
| Feb 11, 2024 | USI 84 – 67 SIUE |
| Jan 12, 2024 | SIUE 67 – 64 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 5-15 |
| Home | 12-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#231) | -9.2 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#237) | -1.66 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#253) | -2.23 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#242) | 0.398 (#332) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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