Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE N/A USI +410 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +4 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -12.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (-22.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -8.4 (-4.4) | 138.2 (-24.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -9.7 (-5.7) | 139.0 (-25.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -9.2 (-5.2) | 134.3 (-20.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -8.6 (-4.6) | 135.0 (-21.0) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SIUE 58 – 46 USI |
| Feb 23, 2025 | USI 82 – 68 SIUE |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SIUE 82 – 76 USI |
| Feb 11, 2024 | USI 84 – 67 SIUE |
| Jan 12, 2024 | SIUE 67 – 64 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 4-16 |
| Home | 10-5 | 3-10 |
| Away | 8-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#252) | -13.8 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#250) | -3.46 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#267) | -4.26 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#314) | 0.315 (#364) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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