Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | USI +170 SIUE -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USI +14 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -5.2 (+19.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -5.5 (+19.5) | 139.9 (+10.1) | 28% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -5.8 (+19.8) | 139.9 (+10.1) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -5.6 (+19.6) | 137.3 (+12.7) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -5.8 (+19.8) | 138.6 (+11.4) | 24% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SIUE 58 – 46 USI |
| Jan 1, 2026 | SIUE 59 – 55 USI |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SIUE 82 – 76 USI |
| Feb 11, 2024 | USI 84 – 67 SIUE |
| Jan 12, 2024 | SIUE 67 – 64 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 13-7 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 2-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#336) | -3.1 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#334) | -0.42 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.85 (#342) | -0.75 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.396 (#343) | 0.492 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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