Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | USI +105 SIUE -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +12 | 104 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -1.9 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.4 (-25.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -2.2 (-9.8) | 134.8 (-30.8) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -2.4 (-9.6) | 128.7 (-24.7) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -2.7 (-9.3) | 129.2 (-25.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -2.3 (-9.7) | 131.2 (-27.2) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 1, 2026 | SIUE 59 – 55 USI |
| Feb 23, 2025 | USI 82 – 68 SIUE |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SIUE 82 – 76 USI |
| Feb 11, 2024 | USI 84 – 67 SIUE |
| Jan 12, 2024 | SIUE 67 – 64 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 12-8 |
| Home | 3-10 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 65.9 |
| Massey | -11.5 (#325) | -6.6 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.98 (#355) | -1.10 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.41 (#350) | -1.44 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.354 (#363) | 0.433 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.6% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.0% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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