I don't know why I let that mean woman make me a fool. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Ohio Valley Conference · Liberty Arena (IN) · February 1, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread SIUE -1.5 Away covered
O/U 130.5 Under
Money USI +105 / SIUE -125
Model Predictions
Spread Total USI win
Actual SIUE +12 104 Lost
Massey SIUE -1.9 (-10.1) — —
Massey Totals — 129.4 (-25.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 21% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 20% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SIUE -2.3 (-9.7) 131.2 (-27.2) 38% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SIUE -2.2 (-9.8) 134.8 (-30.8) 36% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SIUE -2.4 (-9.6) 128.7 (-24.7) 31% ✓
Baseline ML SIUE -2.7 (-9.3) 129.2 (-25.2) 36% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 1, 2026 SIUE 59 – 55 USI
Feb 23, 2025 USI 82 – 68 SIUE
Jan 24, 2025 SIUE 82 – 76 USI
Feb 11, 2024 USI 84 – 67 SIUE
Jan 12, 2024 SIUE 67 – 64 USI

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings USI SIUE
Overall 7-23 19-13
Conference 4-16 12-8
Home 3-10 10-5
Away 4-11 8-7
Neutral 0-2 1-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 67.0 67.7
Avg Pts Against 74.3 65.9
Massey -11.5 (#325) -6.6 (#265)
Bradley-Terry -2.98 (#355) -1.10 (#265)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.41 (#350) -1.44 (#264)
RPI 0.354 (#363) 0.433 (#296)
Shooting & Four Factors USI SIUE
FG% 37.6% 42.3%
3PT% 29.9% 34.7%
REB / G 38.2 35.6
OREB / G 12.5 11.1
AST / TO 0.78 1.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.0% 48.5%
TOV% 17.7% 17.4%
ORB% 29.7% 31.4%
FT Rate 23.4% 21.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.1% 45.9%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 17.1%
DRB% 68.2% 67.0%
Opp FT Rate 25.8% 26.5%

Game Analysis

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