Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE -333 USI +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +3 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -9.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -6.8 (-3.8) | 134.5 (-3.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -6.4 (-3.4) | 136.5 (-5.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -6.5 (-3.5) | 136.8 (-5.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -7.3 (-4.3) | 137.3 (-6.3) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SIUE 58 – 46 USI |
| Jan 1, 2026 | SIUE 59 – 55 USI |
| Feb 23, 2025 | USI 82 – 68 SIUE |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SIUE 82 – 76 USI |
| Feb 11, 2024 | USI 84 – 67 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-2 | 5-10 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#268) | -10.9 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#252) | -2.41 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#257) | -3.13 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#260) | 0.398 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 33.0% |
Game Analysis
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