You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
Ohio Valley Conference · First Community Arena · January 12, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SIUE -7.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money SIUE -333 / USI +320
Model Predictions
Spread Total SIUE win
Actual SIUE +3 131 Won
Massey SIUE -9.3 (-6.3) — —
Massey Totals — 133.4 (-2.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 91% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SIUE -7.3 (-4.3) 137.3 (-6.3) 76% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SIUE -6.8 (-3.8) 134.5 (-3.5) 75% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SIUE -6.4 (-3.4) 136.5 (-5.5) 76% ✓
Baseline ML SIUE -6.5 (-3.5) 136.8 (-5.8) 74% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 1, 2026 SIUE 58 – 46 USI
Jan 1, 2026 SIUE 59 – 55 USI
Feb 23, 2025 USI 82 – 68 SIUE
Jan 24, 2025 SIUE 82 – 76 USI
Feb 11, 2024 USI 84 – 67 SIUE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SIUE USI
Overall 17-16 8-24
Conference 9-9 5-13
Home 12-2 5-10
Away 2-13 3-13
Neutral 3-1 0-1
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 69.4 66.9
Avg Pts Against 71.0 75.0
Massey -5.5 (#268) -10.9 (#329)
Bradley-Terry -0.82 (#252) -2.41 (#342)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.12 (#257) -3.13 (#341)
RPI 0.452 (#260) 0.398 (#330)
Shooting & Four Factors SIUE USI
FG% 41.8% 38.9%
3PT% 35.0% 28.9%
REB / G 32.5 37.1
OREB / G 10.2 10.1
AST / TO 0.99 0.78
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.1% 43.9%
TOV% 15.6% 21.2%
ORB% 29.5% 27.3%
FT Rate 26.2% 21.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.5% 48.2%
Opp TOV% 15.2% 15.4%
DRB% 68.1% 73.3%
Opp FT Rate 25.6% 33.0%

Game Analysis

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