Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
Western Athletic Conference · Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · January 24, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Money CBU -140 / UVU +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual UVU +5 143 Lost
Massey CBU -0.6 (-5.6) — —
Massey Totals — 142.3 (+0.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 49% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 53% ✗
Baseline Plus ML CBU -0.2 (-5.2) 140.2 (+2.8) 47% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UVU -0.1 (-4.9) 138.3 (+4.7) 48% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UVU -0.1 (-4.9) 137.7 (+5.3) 48% ✓
Baseline ML UVU -0.2 (-4.8) 138.2 (+4.8) 42% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 15, 2026 CBU 63 – 61 UVU
Feb 20, 2026 UVU 65 – 46 CBU
Jan 25, 2026 CBU 78 – 71 UVU
Dec 30, 2025 UVU 73 – 66 CBU
Jan 11, 2025 UVU 75 – 69 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU UVU
Overall 17-15 25-9
Conference 9-7 15-1
Home 11-5 12-0
Away 4-8 10-7
Neutral 2-2 3-2
Last 5 2-3 5-0
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 71.2 74.2
Avg Pts Against 70.0 68.9
Massey -0.8 (#173) 2.0 (#130)
Bradley-Terry 0.02 (#176) 0.68 (#112)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.07 (#179) 0.53 (#137)
RPI 0.498 (#185) 0.540 (#102)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU UVU
FG% 42.9% 44.8%
3PT% 29.1% 29.8%
REB / G 36.3 37.9
OREB / G 12.3 11.5
AST / TO 1.05 1.14
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.2% 49.4%
TOV% 16.7% 17.9%
ORB% 33.3% 32.3%
FT Rate 23.0% 28.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.4% 49.8%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 17.7%
DRB% 71.2% 74.5%
Opp FT Rate 22.6% 22.1%

Game Analysis

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