Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Western Athletic Conference · UCCU Center · February 20, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread UVU -8.5 Home covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money UVU -410 / CBU +320
Model Predictions
Spread Total UVU win
Actual UVU +19 111 Won
Massey UVU -7.4 (+11.6)
Massey Totals 143.6 (-32.6)
Bradley-Terry 57%
Weighted B-T 61%
Efficiency Plus ML UVU -5.9 (+13.1) 140.2 (-29.2) 70%
Baseline Tuned ML UVU -6.6 (+12.4) 139.1 (-28.1) 74%
Baseline ML UVU -6.1 (+12.9) 140.1 (-29.1) 75%
Baseline Plus ML UVU -5.7 (+13.3) 141.3 (-30.3) 73%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 15, 2026 CBU 6361 UVU
Jan 25, 2026 CBU 7871 UVU
Dec 30, 2025 UVU 7366 CBU
Jan 24, 2025 UVU 7469 CBU
Jan 11, 2025 UVU 7569 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UVU CBU
Overall 25-9 25-9
Conference 14-4 13-5
Home 15-1 15-0
Away 6-7 7-8
Neutral 4-1 3-1
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 77.7 72.6
Avg Pts Against 70.8 67.6
Massey 6.7 (#90) 2.2 (#132)
Bradley-Terry 1.00 (#89) 1.21 (#83)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.27 (#94) 1.39 (#87)
RPI 0.567 (#62) 0.540 (#88)
Shooting & Four Factors UVU CBU
FG% 50.1% 42.6%
3PT% 34.0% 32.3%
REB / G 34.4 41.0
OREB / G 11.1 14.5
AST / TO 1.20 0.85
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.8% 47.8%
TOV% 21.1% 18.1%
ORB% 35.0% 38.7%
FT Rate 25.2% 26.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.5% 46.7%
Opp TOV% 21.4% 16.2%
DRB% 68.7% 73.6%
Opp FT Rate 28.4% 26.6%

Game Analysis

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