See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
Utah Valley Wolverines
61 – 63
FINAL Neutral Conference WAC
California Baptist Lancers
Western Athletic Conference · Orleans Arena (Neutral) · March 15, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread UVU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 139.5 Under
Money UVU -155 / CBU +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total UVU win
Actual CBU +2 124 Lost
Massey UVU -3.1 (-5.1) — —
Massey Totals — 141.2 (-17.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 52% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 53% ✗
Baseline Plus ML UVU -1.3 (-3.3) 140.7 (-16.7) 54% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UVU -2.7 (-4.7) 140.0 (-16.0) 54% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML UVU -0.8 (-2.8) 140.2 (-16.2) 55% ✗
Baseline ML UVU -1.2 (-3.2) 140.0 (-16.0) 56% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 UVU 65 – 46 CBU
Jan 25, 2026 CBU 78 – 71 UVU
Dec 30, 2025 UVU 73 – 66 CBU
Jan 24, 2025 UVU 74 – 69 CBU
Jan 11, 2025 UVU 75 – 69 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UVU CBU
Overall 25-9 25-9
Conference 14-4 13-5
Home 15-1 15-0
Away 6-7 7-8
Neutral 4-1 3-1
Last 5 5-0 5-0
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 77.7 72.6
Avg Pts Against 70.8 67.6
Massey 6.3 (#91) 3.2 (#118)
Bradley-Terry 1.39 (#72) 1.33 (#76)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.61 (#79) 1.50 (#84)
RPI 0.585 (#35) 0.545 (#75)
Shooting & Four Factors UVU CBU
FG% 49.7% 43.3%
3PT% 33.9% 33.7%
REB / G 34.9 40.1
OREB / G 11.3 14.0
AST / TO 1.24 0.84
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.3% 48.7%
TOV% 20.2% 18.1%
ORB% 35.1% 38.1%
FT Rate 26.0% 26.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.2% 46.4%
Opp TOV% 21.3% 17.0%
DRB% 68.6% 72.7%
Opp FT Rate 29.0% 26.7%

Game Analysis

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