What have I done? "Police On My Back" - The Clash
Western Athletic Conference · UCCU Center · December 30, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread UVU -7.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Under
Money UVU -355 / CBU +280
Model Predictions
Spread Total UVU win
Actual UVU +7 139 Won
Massey UVU -11.8 (-4.8)
Massey Totals 143.2 (-4.2)
Bradley-Terry 60%
Weighted B-T 76%
Efficiency Plus ML UVU -8.1 (-1.1) 142.1 (-3.1) 78%
Baseline Tuned ML UVU -9.4 (-2.4) 140.6 (-1.6) 82%
Baseline ML UVU -9.4 (-2.4) 142.6 (-3.6) 80%
Baseline Plus ML UVU -8.1 (-1.1) 142.7 (-3.7) 76%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 15, 2026 CBU 6361 UVU
Feb 20, 2026 UVU 6546 CBU
Jan 25, 2026 CBU 7871 UVU
Jan 24, 2025 UVU 7469 CBU
Jan 11, 2025 UVU 7569 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UVU CBU
Overall 25-9 25-9
Conference 14-4 13-5
Home 15-1 15-0
Away 6-7 7-8
Neutral 4-1 3-1
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 77.7 72.6
Avg Pts Against 70.8 67.6
Massey 10.5 (#57) 2.9 (#130)
Bradley-Terry 1.37 (#79) 1.63 (#64)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.34 (#66) 1.93 (#77)
RPI 0.595 (#42) 0.557 (#86)
Shooting & Four Factors UVU CBU
FG% 50.3% 43.3%
3PT% 35.5% 31.6%
REB / G 35.9 41.3
OREB / G 10.7 15.5
AST / TO 1.17 0.95
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.6% 48.4%
TOV% 21.6% 17.9%
ORB% 34.6% 40.6%
FT Rate 22.2% 26.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.9% 48.3%
Opp TOV% 20.1% 17.2%
DRB% 69.0% 73.6%
Opp FT Rate 25.6% 27.4%

Game Analysis

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