Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Western Athletic Conference · UCCU Center · December 30, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread UVU -7.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Under
Money UVU -355 / CBU +280
Model Predictions
Spread Total UVU win
Actual UVU +7 139 Won
Massey UVU -11.8 (-4.8) — —
Massey Totals — 143.2 (-4.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 60% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 76% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UVU -8.1 (-1.1) 142.7 (-3.7) 76% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UVU -8.1 (-1.1) 142.1 (-3.1) 78% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UVU -9.4 (-2.4) 140.6 (-1.6) 82% ✓
Baseline ML UVU -9.4 (-2.4) 142.6 (-3.6) 80% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 15, 2026 CBU 63 – 61 UVU
Feb 20, 2026 UVU 65 – 46 CBU
Jan 25, 2026 CBU 78 – 71 UVU
Jan 24, 2025 UVU 74 – 69 CBU
Jan 11, 2025 UVU 75 – 69 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UVU CBU
Overall 25-9 25-9
Conference 14-4 13-5
Home 15-1 15-0
Away 6-7 7-8
Neutral 4-1 3-1
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 77.7 72.6
Avg Pts Against 70.8 67.6
Massey 10.5 (#57) 2.9 (#130)
Bradley-Terry 1.37 (#79) 1.63 (#64)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.34 (#66) 1.93 (#77)
RPI 0.595 (#42) 0.557 (#86)
Shooting & Four Factors UVU CBU
FG% 50.3% 43.3%
3PT% 35.5% 31.6%
REB / G 35.9 41.3
OREB / G 10.7 15.5
AST / TO 1.17 0.95
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.6% 48.4%
TOV% 21.6% 17.9%
ORB% 34.6% 40.6%
FT Rate 22.2% 26.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.9% 48.3%
Opp TOV% 20.1% 17.2%
DRB% 69.0% 73.6%
Opp FT Rate 25.6% 27.4%

Game Analysis

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