I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
Western Athletic Conference · UCCU Center · January 11, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread UVU -4.5 Home covered
O/U 138.5 Over
Money UVU -215 / CBU +180
Model Predictions
Spread Total UVU win
Actual UVU +6 144 Won
Massey UVU -6.6 (-0.6)
Massey Totals 140.1 (+3.9)
Bradley-Terry 76%
Weighted B-T 76%
Efficiency Plus ML UVU -3.5 (+2.5) 137.3 (+6.7) 67%
Baseline Tuned ML UVU -4.7 (+1.3) 135.7 (+8.3) 73%
Baseline ML UVU -5.5 (+0.5) 135.5 (+8.5) 73%
Baseline Plus ML UVU -4.7 (+1.3) 138.0 (+6.0) 71%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 15, 2026 CBU 6361 UVU
Feb 20, 2026 UVU 6546 CBU
Jan 25, 2026 CBU 7871 UVU
Dec 30, 2025 UVU 7366 CBU
Jan 24, 2025 UVU 7469 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UVU CBU
Overall 25-9 17-15
Conference 15-1 9-7
Home 12-0 11-5
Away 10-7 4-8
Neutral 3-2 2-2
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 74.2 71.2
Avg Pts Against 68.9 70.0
Massey 2.1 (#125) -0.5 (#167)
Bradley-Terry 0.46 (#132) 0.05 (#167)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.33 (#144) 0.04 (#167)
RPI 0.530 (#115) 0.498 (#175)
Shooting & Four Factors UVU CBU
FG% 44.0% 43.3%
3PT% 29.6% 29.6%
REB / G 37.9 36.5
OREB / G 11.1 12.7
AST / TO 1.08 1.12
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.8% 48.7%
TOV% 18.3% 15.9%
ORB% 31.0% 34.1%
FT Rate 26.3% 22.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.6% 52.7%
Opp TOV% 17.3% 17.2%
DRB% 74.2% 70.9%
Opp FT Rate 24.0% 20.4%

Game Analysis

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