And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Western Athletic Conference · UCCU Center · January 11, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread UVU -4.5 Home covered
O/U 138.5 Over
Money UVU -215 / CBU +180
Model Predictions
Spread Total UVU win
Actual UVU +6 144 Won
Massey UVU -6.6 (-0.6) — —
Massey Totals — 140.1 (+3.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 76% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 76% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UVU -4.7 (+1.3) 138.0 (+6.0) 71% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UVU -3.5 (+2.5) 137.3 (+6.7) 67% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UVU -4.7 (+1.3) 135.7 (+8.3) 73% ✓
Baseline ML UVU -5.5 (+0.5) 135.5 (+8.5) 73% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 15, 2026 CBU 63 – 61 UVU
Feb 20, 2026 UVU 65 – 46 CBU
Jan 25, 2026 CBU 78 – 71 UVU
Dec 30, 2025 UVU 73 – 66 CBU
Jan 24, 2025 UVU 74 – 69 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UVU CBU
Overall 25-9 17-15
Conference 15-1 9-7
Home 12-0 11-5
Away 10-7 4-8
Neutral 3-2 2-2
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 74.2 71.2
Avg Pts Against 68.9 70.0
Massey 2.1 (#125) -0.5 (#167)
Bradley-Terry 0.46 (#132) 0.05 (#167)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.33 (#144) 0.04 (#167)
RPI 0.530 (#115) 0.498 (#175)
Shooting & Four Factors UVU CBU
FG% 44.0% 43.3%
3PT% 29.6% 29.6%
REB / G 37.9 36.5
OREB / G 11.1 12.7
AST / TO 1.08 1.12
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.8% 48.7%
TOV% 18.3% 15.9%
ORB% 31.0% 34.1%
FT Rate 26.3% 22.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.6% 52.7%
Opp TOV% 17.3% 17.2%
DRB% 74.2% 70.9%
Opp FT Rate 24.0% 20.4%

Game Analysis

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