All your compliments and your cutting remarks are captured here in my quotation marks. "Everyday I Write the Book" - Elvis Costello
Coastal Athletic Association · Island FCU Arena · January 24, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread CAM -2.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money STBK +135 / CAM -155
Model Predictions
Spread Total STBK win
Actual CAM +25 133 Lost
Massey CAM -3.3 (-21.7)
Massey Totals 136.0 (-3.0)
Bradley-Terry 55%
Weighted B-T 37%
Efficiency Plus ML CAM -2.3 (-22.7) 133.2 (-0.2) 38%
Baseline Tuned ML CAM -2.7 (-22.3) 133.5 (-0.5) 37%
Baseline ML CAM -2.9 (-22.1) 133.7 (-0.7) 36%
Baseline Plus ML CAM -3.3 (-21.7) 132.9 (+0.1) 35%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2026 CAM 9689 STBK
Jan 30, 2026 STBK 8169 CAM
Feb 10, 2024 CAM 9577 STBK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings STBK CAM
Overall 8-24 15-17
Conference 4-14 10-8
Home 5-9 8-6
Away 3-13 7-10
Neutral 0-2 0-1
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 65.6 68.9
Avg Pts Against 75.1 69.3
Massey -11.7 (#331) -4.9 (#246)
Bradley-Terry -1.89 (#324) -1.48 (#303)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.56 (#331) -1.33 (#265)
RPI 0.420 (#309) 0.429 (#297)
Shooting & Four Factors STBK CAM
FG% 39.7% 41.9%
3PT% 31.1% 30.3%
REB / G 32.1 30.6
OREB / G 10.6 7.8
AST / TO 0.81 1.17
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.8% 48.3%
TOV% 19.2% 15.9%
ORB% 29.7% 22.6%
FT Rate 24.7% 25.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 57.2% 52.8%
Opp TOV% 16.4% 18.5%
DRB% 68.0% 71.6%
Opp FT Rate 20.7% 21.2%

Game Analysis

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