Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | CAM -225 STBK +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +12 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | CAM -3.9 (-15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -4.0 (-16.0) | 147.5 (+2.5) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -2.5 (-14.5) | 148.6 (+1.4) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -2.3 (-14.3) | 149.3 (+0.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -2.2 (-14.2) | 148.4 (+1.6) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | CAM 96 – 89 STBK |
| Jan 24, 2025 | CAM 79 – 54 STBK |
| Feb 10, 2024 | CAM 95 – 77 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#219) | -4.0 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#201) | -0.19 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#203) | -0.54 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#193) | 0.495 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.1% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.3% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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