They put a hot wire to my head / Because of the things I did and said "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
Ohio Valley Conference · Groniger Arena · January 24, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread MORE -4.5 Away covered
O/U 129.5 Over
Money EIU +165 / MORE -195
Model Predictions
Spread Total EIU win
Actual MORE +7 139 Lost
Massey MORE -1.5 (-5.5) — —
Massey Totals — 133.5 (+5.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 9% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 8% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MORE -3.3 (-3.7) 129.8 (+9.2) 32% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MORE -4.0 (-3.0) 131.3 (+7.7) 27% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MORE -3.0 (-4.0) 131.4 (+7.6) 32% ✓
Baseline ML MORE -2.7 (-4.3) 130.0 (+9.0) 33% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 MORE 73 – 70 EIU
Jan 24, 2026 MORE 73 – 68 EIU
Feb 22, 2025 EIU 67 – 62 MORE
Feb 10, 2024 MORE 69 – 57 EIU
Jan 12, 2024 MORE 78 – 52 EIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EIU MORE
Overall 12-19 15-17
Conference 8-12 10-10
Home 7-7 9-5
Away 4-12 6-10
Neutral 1-0 0-2
Last 5 0-5 4-1
Streak W4 L1
Avg Pts For 63.5 63.7
Avg Pts Against 70.2 69.8
Massey -11.8 (#336) -6.9 (#275)
Bradley-Terry -3.04 (#355) -0.11 (#190)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.92 (#356) -0.78 (#229)
RPI 0.353 (#360) 0.506 (#170)
Shooting & Four Factors EIU MORE
FG% 39.9% 41.8%
3PT% 30.7% 33.0%
REB / G 34.3 36.7
OREB / G 11.0 11.2
AST / TO 0.74 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.4% 47.0%
TOV% 19.5% 19.0%
ORB% 28.7% 31.5%
FT Rate 22.1% 24.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.8% 49.5%
Opp TOV% 19.7% 14.2%
DRB% 68.1% 74.5%
Opp FT Rate 31.3% 23.9%

Game Analysis

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