Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | MORE -225 EIU +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +5 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | MORE -4.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -2.8 (-7.8) | 128.9 (+0.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -4.6 (-9.6) | 129.2 (-0.2) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -1.9 (-6.9) | 131.4 (-2.4) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -2.6 (-7.6) | 128.2 (+0.8) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | MORE 73 – 70 EIU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MORE 73 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | MORE 73 – 66 EIU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MORE 69 – 57 EIU |
| Jan 12, 2024 | MORE 78 – 52 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-10 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.7 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -10.5 (#329) | -11.5 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#276) | -2.24 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.98 (#311) | -2.97 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#236) | 0.405 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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