What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
Ohio Valley Conference · Groniger Arena · January 12, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread MORE -7.5 Away covered
O/U 133.5 Under
Money EIU +320 / MORE -333
Model Predictions
Spread Total EIU win
Actual MORE +26 130 Lost
Massey MORE -4.5 (-21.5) — —
Massey Totals — 134.0 (-4.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 23% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 16% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MORE -5.2 (-20.8) 136.4 (-6.4) 28% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MORE -5.2 (-20.8) 133.3 (-3.3) 26% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MORE -4.8 (-21.2) 136.1 (-6.1) 29% ✓
Baseline ML MORE -4.7 (-21.3) 138.3 (-8.3) 29% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 MORE 73 – 70 EIU
Jan 24, 2026 MORE 73 – 68 EIU
Feb 22, 2025 EIU 67 – 62 MORE
Jan 24, 2025 MORE 73 – 66 EIU
Feb 10, 2024 MORE 69 – 57 EIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EIU MORE
Overall 14-18 26-9
Conference 8-10 14-4
Home 9-6 14-1
Away 4-11 9-7
Neutral 1-1 3-1
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 65.3 72.3
Avg Pts Against 70.4 66.3
Massey -6.2 (#279) 2.3 (#131)
Bradley-Terry -1.02 (#272) 0.91 (#102)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.48 (#288) 0.96 (#115)
RPI 0.455 (#249) 0.542 (#103)
Shooting & Four Factors EIU MORE
FG% 39.9% 45.8%
3PT% 34.2% 33.4%
REB / G 35.2 36.2
OREB / G 11.7 10.3
AST / TO 0.95 0.96
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.0% 53.1%
TOV% 17.7% 19.7%
ORB% 30.1% 32.6%
FT Rate 18.0% 22.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.5% 47.9%
Opp TOV% 18.6% 15.3%
DRB% 76.1% 72.0%
Opp FT Rate 30.0% 28.4%

Game Analysis

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