The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
Ohio Valley Conference · Groniger Arena · January 12, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread MORE -7.5 Away covered
O/U 133.5 Under
Money EIU +320 / MORE -333
Model Predictions
Spread Total EIU win
Actual MORE +26 130 Lost
Massey MORE -4.5 (-21.5)
Massey Totals 134.0 (-4.0)
Bradley-Terry 23%
Weighted B-T 16%
Baseline Plus ML MORE -4.8 (-21.2) 136.1 (-6.1) 29%
Model 4 ML MORE -5.2 (-20.8) 133.3 (-3.3) 26%
Model 3 ML MORE -5.2 (-20.8) 136.4 (-6.4) 28%
Baseline ML MORE -4.7 (-21.3) 138.3 (-8.3) 29%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 MORE 7370 EIU
Jan 24, 2026 MORE 7368 EIU
Feb 22, 2025 EIU 6762 MORE
Jan 24, 2025 MORE 7366 EIU
Feb 10, 2024 MORE 6957 EIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EIU MORE
Overall 14-18 26-9
Conference 8-10 14-4
Home 9-6 14-1
Away 4-11 9-7
Neutral 1-1 3-1
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 65.3 72.3
Avg Pts Against 70.4 66.3
Massey -6.2 (#279) 2.3 (#131)
Bradley-Terry -1.02 (#272) 0.91 (#102)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.48 (#288) 0.96 (#115)
RPI 0.455 (#249) 0.542 (#103)
Shooting & Four Factors EIU MORE
FG% 39.9% 45.8%
3PT% 34.2% 33.4%
REB / G 35.2 36.2
OREB / G 11.7 10.3
AST / TO 0.95 0.96
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.0% 53.1%
TOV% 17.7% 19.7%
ORB% 30.1% 32.6%
FT Rate 18.0% 22.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.5% 47.9%
Opp TOV% 18.6% 15.3%
DRB% 76.1% 72.0%
Opp FT Rate 30.0% 28.4%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.