You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
Ohio Valley Conference · Groniger Arena · February 20, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread MORE -1.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money EIU -102 / MORE -118
Model Predictions
Spread Total EIU win
Actual MORE +3 143 Lost
Massey EIU -0.4 (-3.4) — —
Massey Totals — 139.0 (+4.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 39% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 39% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MORE -0.4 (-2.6) 136.5 (+6.5) 43% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MORE -0.5 (-2.5) 135.2 (+7.8) 38% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MORE -0.3 (-2.7) 134.8 (+8.2) 46% ✓
Baseline ML MORE -0.2 (-2.8) 136.0 (+7.0) 43% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 MORE 73 – 68 EIU
Feb 22, 2025 EIU 67 – 62 MORE
Jan 24, 2025 MORE 73 – 66 EIU
Feb 10, 2024 MORE 69 – 57 EIU
Jan 12, 2024 MORE 78 – 52 EIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EIU MORE
Overall 13-20 20-13
Conference 8-12 15-5
Home 9-6 11-2
Away 3-13 7-10
Neutral 1-1 2-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 64.6 72.0
Avg Pts Against 72.2 75.5
Massey -10.7 (#317) -8.2 (#290)
Bradley-Terry -1.60 (#310) -0.66 (#227)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.22 (#318) -1.21 (#254)
RPI 0.447 (#277) 0.482 (#219)
Shooting & Four Factors EIU MORE
FG% 40.5% 44.2%
3PT% 31.8% 32.5%
REB / G 31.4 35.8
OREB / G 9.6 12.5
AST / TO 0.85 0.95
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.4% 49.2%
TOV% 19.0% 18.8%
ORB% 27.6% 36.3%
FT Rate 24.9% 27.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 50.6%
Opp TOV% 19.3% 15.6%
DRB% 64.7% 63.2%
Opp FT Rate 27.5% 26.6%

Game Analysis

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