You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
Ohio Valley Conference · Groniger Arena · February 20, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread MORE -1.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money EIU -102 / MORE -118
Model Predictions
Spread Total EIU win
Actual MORE +3 143 Lost
Massey EIU -0.4 (-3.4)
Massey Totals 139.0 (+4.0)
Bradley-Terry 39%
Weighted B-T 39%
Efficiency Plus ML MORE -0.5 (-2.5) 135.2 (+7.8) 38%
Baseline Tuned ML MORE -0.3 (-2.7) 134.8 (+8.2) 46%
Baseline ML MORE -0.2 (-2.8) 136.0 (+7.0) 43%
Baseline Plus ML MORE -0.4 (-2.6) 136.5 (+6.5) 43%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 MORE 7368 EIU
Feb 22, 2025 EIU 6762 MORE
Jan 24, 2025 MORE 7366 EIU
Feb 10, 2024 MORE 6957 EIU
Jan 12, 2024 MORE 7852 EIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EIU MORE
Overall 13-20 20-13
Conference 8-12 15-5
Home 9-6 11-2
Away 3-13 7-10
Neutral 1-1 2-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 64.6 72.0
Avg Pts Against 72.2 75.5
Massey -10.7 (#317) -8.2 (#290)
Bradley-Terry -1.60 (#310) -0.66 (#227)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.22 (#318) -1.21 (#254)
RPI 0.447 (#277) 0.482 (#219)
Shooting & Four Factors EIU MORE
FG% 40.5% 44.2%
3PT% 31.8% 32.5%
REB / G 31.4 35.8
OREB / G 9.6 12.5
AST / TO 0.85 0.95
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.4% 49.2%
TOV% 19.0% 18.8%
ORB% 27.6% 36.3%
FT Rate 24.9% 27.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 50.6%
Opp TOV% 19.3% 15.6%
DRB% 64.7% 63.2%
Opp FT Rate 27.5% 26.6%

Game Analysis

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