Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | MORE -192 EIU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +5 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -3.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -1.8 (+3.2) | 131.5 (+9.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -3.2 (+1.8) | 132.1 (+8.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -2.6 (+2.4) | 133.0 (+8.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -2.2 (+2.8) | 131.9 (+9.1) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | MORE 73 – 70 EIU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | EIU 67 – 62 MORE |
| Jan 24, 2025 | MORE 73 – 66 EIU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MORE 69 – 57 EIU |
| Jan 12, 2024 | MORE 78 – 52 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#297) | -9.4 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#255) | -1.27 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#282) | -1.83 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#228) | 0.442 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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