Trouble's gonna come to you "Your Time is Gonna Come" - Led Zeppelin
Ohio Valley Conference · Ellis T. Johnson Arena · February 10, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread MORE -15.5 Away covered
O/U 130.5 Under
Money MORE -1600 / EIU +1100
Model Predictions
Spread Total MORE win
Actual MORE +12 126 Won
Massey MORE -16.3 (-4.3)
Massey Totals 130.2 (-4.2)
Bradley-Terry 97%
Weighted B-T 98%
Efficiency Plus ML MORE -13.2 (-1.2) 131.6 (-5.6) 86%
Baseline Tuned ML MORE -14.1 (-2.1) 131.3 (-5.3) 88%
Baseline ML MORE -14.1 (-2.1) 131.6 (-5.6) 87%
Baseline Plus ML MORE -13.5 (-1.5) 132.5 (-6.5) 87%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 MORE 7370 EIU
Jan 24, 2026 MORE 7368 EIU
Feb 22, 2025 EIU 6762 MORE
Jan 24, 2025 MORE 7366 EIU
Jan 12, 2024 MORE 7852 EIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MORE EIU
Overall 26-9 14-18
Conference 14-4 8-10
Home 14-1 9-6
Away 9-7 4-11
Neutral 3-1 1-1
Last 5 5-0 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 72.3 65.3
Avg Pts Against 66.3 70.4
Massey 3.6 (#117) -9.3 (#313)
Bradley-Terry 1.18 (#88) -1.52 (#310)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.23 (#101) -1.94 (#312)
RPI 0.568 (#66) 0.438 (#290)
Shooting & Four Factors MORE EIU
FG% 45.9% 39.3%
3PT% 33.8% 30.5%
REB / G 36.6 33.3
OREB / G 10.7 10.5
AST / TO 1.06 1.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.3% 44.0%
TOV% 19.1% 15.5%
ORB% 33.7% 27.4%
FT Rate 22.7% 19.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.2% 54.2%
Opp TOV% 15.5% 19.6%
DRB% 72.8% 73.6%
Opp FT Rate 25.9% 28.4%

Game Analysis

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