I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
Ohio Valley Conference · Ellis T. Johnson Arena · February 10, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread MORE -15.5 Away covered
O/U 130.5 Under
Money MORE -1600 / EIU +1100
Model Predictions
Spread Total MORE win
Actual MORE +12 126 Won
Massey MORE -16.3 (-4.3) — —
Massey Totals — 130.2 (-4.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 97% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MORE -13.5 (-1.5) 132.5 (-6.5) 87% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MORE -13.2 (-1.2) 131.6 (-5.6) 86% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MORE -14.1 (-2.1) 131.3 (-5.3) 88% ✓
Baseline ML MORE -14.1 (-2.1) 131.6 (-5.6) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 MORE 73 – 70 EIU
Jan 24, 2026 MORE 73 – 68 EIU
Feb 22, 2025 EIU 67 – 62 MORE
Jan 24, 2025 MORE 73 – 66 EIU
Jan 12, 2024 MORE 78 – 52 EIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MORE EIU
Overall 26-9 14-18
Conference 14-4 8-10
Home 14-1 9-6
Away 9-7 4-11
Neutral 3-1 1-1
Last 5 5-0 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 72.3 65.3
Avg Pts Against 66.3 70.4
Massey 3.6 (#117) -9.3 (#313)
Bradley-Terry 1.18 (#88) -1.52 (#310)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.23 (#101) -1.94 (#312)
RPI 0.568 (#66) 0.438 (#290)
Shooting & Four Factors MORE EIU
FG% 45.9% 39.3%
3PT% 33.8% 30.5%
REB / G 36.6 33.3
OREB / G 10.7 10.5
AST / TO 1.06 1.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.3% 44.0%
TOV% 19.1% 15.5%
ORB% 33.7% 27.4%
FT Rate 22.7% 19.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.2% 54.2%
Opp TOV% 15.5% 19.6%
DRB% 72.8% 73.6%
Opp FT Rate 25.9% 28.4%

Game Analysis

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