Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | PRST -155 WEB +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +18 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -5.5 (+12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -4.9 (+13.1) | 140.0 (-10.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -4.3 (+13.7) | 138.9 (-8.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -5.3 (+12.7) | 139.1 (-9.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -5.3 (+12.7) | 139.4 (-9.4) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | PRST 84 – 60 WEB |
| Jan 1, 2026 | PRST 95 – 90 WEB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | WEB 60 – 58 PRST |
| Feb 9, 2024 | WEB 84 – 72 PRST |
| Jan 14, 2024 | PRST 69 – 66 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 12-22 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-1 | 5-10 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#218) | -5.4 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#203) | -1.18 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#191) | -1.27 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#230) | 0.455 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
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