Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | PRST +220 WEB -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -4.9 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -3.6 (+6.6) | 139.8 (-4.8) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -3.5 (+6.5) | 137.8 (-2.8) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -4.0 (+7.0) | 141.7 (-6.7) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -4.4 (+7.4) | 144.0 (-9.0) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | PRST 84 – 60 WEB |
| Jan 1, 2026 | PRST 95 – 90 WEB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | WEB 60 – 58 PRST |
| Jan 24, 2025 | PRST 74 – 56 WEB |
| Feb 9, 2024 | WEB 84 – 72 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-2 | 12-2 |
| Away | 5-11 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#232) | 5.8 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#172) | 0.67 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#199) | 1.32 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#182) | 0.523 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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