Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | WEB +140 PRST -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +2 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -3.3 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -2.6 (+4.6) | 138.1 (-20.1) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -3.0 (+5.0) | 138.1 (-20.1) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -2.9 (+4.9) | 139.2 (-21.2) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -2.9 (+4.9) | 138.6 (-20.6) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | PRST 84 – 60 WEB |
| Jan 1, 2026 | PRST 95 – 90 WEB |
| Jan 24, 2025 | PRST 74 – 56 WEB |
| Feb 9, 2024 | WEB 84 – 72 PRST |
| Jan 14, 2024 | PRST 69 – 66 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-22 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 5-10 | 13-1 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#299) | -1.9 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#325) | -0.40 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.11 (#318) | -0.28 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#319) | 0.473 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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