Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | WEB -450 PRST +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +12 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -11.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (+16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -9.1 (+2.9) | 141.7 (+14.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -8.8 (+3.2) | 139.9 (+16.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -9.0 (+3.0) | 141.3 (+14.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -9.5 (+2.5) | 142.6 (+13.4) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | PRST 84 – 60 WEB |
| Jan 1, 2026 | PRST 95 – 90 WEB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | WEB 60 – 58 PRST |
| Jan 24, 2025 | PRST 74 – 56 WEB |
| Jan 14, 2024 | PRST 69 – 66 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-2 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-7 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#114) | -4.3 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#144) | 0.09 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#128) | -0.21 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#148) | 0.495 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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