Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | WEB -105 PRST -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +5 | 185 | Lost |
| Massey | WEB -4.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (+34.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -2.5 (-7.5) | 143.1 (+41.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -2.1 (-7.1) | 143.1 (+41.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -1.6 (-6.6) | 143.6 (+41.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -1.4 (-6.4) | 145.4 (+39.6) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | PRST 84 – 60 WEB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | WEB 60 – 58 PRST |
| Jan 24, 2025 | PRST 74 – 56 WEB |
| Feb 9, 2024 | WEB 84 – 72 PRST |
| Jan 14, 2024 | PRST 69 – 66 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-10 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#179) | -1.6 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#258) | -0.30 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#224) | -0.39 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#252) | 0.501 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 36.5% |
Game Analysis
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