Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | PRST -218 WEB +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +24 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -4.6 (+19.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -4.2 (+19.8) | 147.9 (-3.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -4.6 (+19.4) | 145.9 (-1.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -4.5 (+19.5) | 146.1 (-2.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -4.4 (+19.6) | 147.5 (-3.5) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 1, 2026 | PRST 95 – 90 WEB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | WEB 60 – 58 PRST |
| Jan 24, 2025 | PRST 74 – 56 WEB |
| Feb 9, 2024 | WEB 84 – 72 PRST |
| Jan 14, 2024 | PRST 69 – 66 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#153) | -1.0 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#148) | -0.49 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#157) | -0.44 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#156) | 0.480 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.9% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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