Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | PAC +200 LMU -240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +5 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | LMU -4.3 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -4.9 (-0.1) | 143.9 (-2.9) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -5.7 (+0.7) | 140.4 (+0.6) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -6.2 (+1.2) | 141.3 (-0.3) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -5.4 (+0.4) | 141.5 (-0.5) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | PAC 65 – 59 LMU |
| Dec 31, 2025 | LMU 80 – 71 PAC |
| Feb 14, 2025 | PAC 83 – 58 LMU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | LMU 86 – 63 PAC |
| Jan 14, 2024 | LMU 81 – 64 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-10 | 11-6 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#290) | 0.0 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#326) | 0.90 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.49 (#328) | 1.11 (#93) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#316) | 0.543 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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