Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | LMU -1400 PAC +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +17 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -18.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -13.9 (+3.1) | 138.4 (+6.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -12.8 (+4.2) | 140.3 (+4.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -13.3 (+3.7) | 140.3 (+4.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -13.6 (+3.4) | 139.4 (+5.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | PAC 65 – 59 LMU |
| Dec 31, 2025 | LMU 80 – 71 PAC |
| Feb 14, 2025 | PAC 83 – 58 LMU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LMU 73 – 68 PAC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | LMU 86 – 63 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 0-16 |
| Home | 8-8 | 5-12 |
| Away | 2-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L23 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 81.4 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#178) | -15.3 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#244) | -1.79 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#239) | -2.43 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#253) | 0.391 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 27.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 19.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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