Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | LMU -800 PAC +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PAC +25 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | LMU -12.4 (-37.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -11.0 (-36.0) | 137.4 (+3.6) | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -10.1 (-35.1) | 138.1 (+2.9) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -10.5 (-35.5) | 134.5 (+6.5) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -11.1 (-36.1) | 135.5 (+5.5) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | PAC 65 – 59 LMU |
| Dec 31, 2025 | LMU 80 – 71 PAC |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LMU 73 – 68 PAC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | LMU 86 – 63 PAC |
| Jan 14, 2024 | LMU 81 – 64 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-6 | 5-10 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#139) | -7.8 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#107) | -1.76 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#101) | -2.45 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#118) | 0.420 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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