Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | LMU -180 PAC +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +9 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -4.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (+20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -3.8 (+5.2) | 133.6 (+17.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -3.4 (+5.6) | 135.3 (+15.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -3.9 (+5.1) | 134.5 (+16.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -3.8 (+5.2) | 134.4 (+16.6) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | PAC 65 – 59 LMU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | PAC 83 – 58 LMU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LMU 73 – 68 PAC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | LMU 86 – 63 PAC |
| Jan 14, 2024 | LMU 81 – 64 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-8 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#126) | 2.6 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#136) | 0.65 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#123) | 0.67 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#183) | 0.533 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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