Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | PAC -250 LMU +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PAC +6 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | PAC -6.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PAC -6.1 (-0.1) | 137.1 (-13.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PAC -4.8 (+1.2) | 134.9 (-10.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PAC -5.7 (+0.3) | 135.5 (-11.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PAC -6.5 (-0.5) | 136.7 (-12.7) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | LMU 80 – 71 PAC |
| Feb 14, 2025 | PAC 83 – 58 LMU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LMU 73 – 68 PAC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | LMU 86 – 63 PAC |
| Jan 14, 2024 | LMU 81 – 64 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#108) | 0.7 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#112) | 0.12 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#103) | 0.27 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#113) | 0.502 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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