Betting Lines
| Spread | MORG -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | MORG -550 COPP +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +16 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | MORG -7.9 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORG -6.7 (+9.3) | 148.6 (-4.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -6.4 (+9.6) | 151.1 (-7.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -5.9 (+10.1) | 151.8 (-7.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -5.8 (+10.2) | 148.3 (-4.3) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MORG 70 – 66 COPP |
| Jan 31, 2026 | MORG 89 – 80 COPP |
| Mar 7, 2025 | COPP 82 – 75 MORG |
| Mar 8, 2024 | MORG 78 – 60 COPP |
| Jan 20, 2024 | MORG 89 – 86 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORG | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 4-10 |
| Home | 11-4 | 5-6 |
| Away | 2-13 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 61.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.8 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -13.4 (#348) | -18.0 (#361) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#335) | -2.83 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.82 (#333) | -3.76 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.369 (#352) | 0.378 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORG | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 29.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 42.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 58.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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