Betting Lines
| Spread | MORG -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | MORG -270 COPP +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +4 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | MORG -8.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (-20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORG -7.3 (-3.3) | 144.0 (-8.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -7.9 (-3.9) | 148.5 (-12.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -7.2 (-3.2) | 149.0 (-13.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -6.9 (-2.9) | 148.9 (-12.9) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | MORG 89 – 80 COPP |
| Mar 7, 2025 | COPP 82 – 75 MORG |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MORG 80 – 64 COPP |
| Mar 8, 2024 | MORG 78 – 60 COPP |
| Jan 20, 2024 | MORG 89 – 86 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORG | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 5-9 |
| Home | 9-6 | 3-6 |
| Away | 5-9 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.1 | 81.0 |
| Massey | -16.0 (#351) | -21.5 (#364) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#332) | -2.87 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.95 (#345) | -3.92 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#331) | 0.412 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORG | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 32.0% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.1% | 32.6% |
Game Analysis
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