Betting Lines
| Spread | MORG -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | MORG -333 COPP +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +18 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | MORG -7.7 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -6.3 (+11.7) | 140.4 (-2.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORG -7.1 (+10.9) | 137.3 (+0.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -7.2 (+10.8) | 138.0 (-0.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -6.2 (+11.8) | 138.2 (-0.2) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MORG 70 – 66 COPP |
| Jan 31, 2026 | MORG 89 – 80 COPP |
| Mar 7, 2025 | COPP 82 – 75 MORG |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MORG 80 – 64 COPP |
| Jan 20, 2024 | MORG 89 – 86 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORG | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 2-27 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 1-13 |
| Home | 8-5 | 2-8 |
| Away | 3-12 | 0-17 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 57.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.0 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -13.3 (#343) | -17.7 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#330) | -3.65 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#325) | -3.98 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#319) | 0.338 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORG | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 62.1% | 60.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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