Betting Lines
| Spread | USI -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | EIU -105 USI -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USI +4 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | EIU -0.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USI -0.0 (-4.0) | 137.3 (-13.3) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USI -0.4 (-3.6) | 136.6 (-12.6) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USI -0.3 (-3.7) | 137.3 (-13.3) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USI -1.8 (-2.2) | 139.4 (-15.4) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | USI 70 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 23, 2026 | EIU 59 – 51 USI |
| Feb 21, 2025 | EIU 63 – 54 USI |
| Feb 9, 2024 | EIU 81 – 71 USI |
| Jan 27, 2023 | USI 78 – 74 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 5-15 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-12 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#338) | -9.0 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.09 (#354) | -1.69 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.93 (#357) | -2.24 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.354 (#359) | 0.401 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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