Betting Lines
| Spread | USI -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | USI -700 EIU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USI +4 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | USI -11.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USI -10.2 (-6.2) | 146.9 (+5.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USI -10.7 (-6.7) | 146.3 (+5.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USI -10.2 (-6.2) | 146.4 (+5.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USI -10.1 (-6.1) | 145.8 (+6.2) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | USI 70 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 23, 2026 | EIU 59 – 51 USI |
| Feb 21, 2025 | EIU 63 – 54 USI |
| Jan 25, 2025 | USI 64 – 60 EIU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | EIU 81 – 71 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-4 | 6-9 |
| Away | 5-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#229) | -11.0 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#217) | -2.05 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#218) | -2.54 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#215) | 0.387 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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