Betting Lines
| Spread | USI -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | USI -148 EIU +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +8 | 110 | Lost |
| Massey | USI -1.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (-23.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USI -0.1 (-8.1) | 133.6 (-23.6) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -0.4 (-7.6) | 134.8 (-24.8) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USI -0.0 (-8.0) | 130.1 (-20.1) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -0.2 (-7.8) | 131.5 (-21.5) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | USI 70 – 68 EIU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | EIU 63 – 54 USI |
| Jan 25, 2025 | USI 64 – 60 EIU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | EIU 81 – 71 USI |
| Jan 27, 2023 | USI 78 – 74 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 8-12 |
| Home | 3-10 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -11.3 (#325) | -9.9 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.78 (#350) | -1.36 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.14 (#341) | -1.96 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.363 (#357) | 0.433 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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