Betting Lines
| Spread | USI -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | USI -175 EIU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +10 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | USI -2.6 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (+20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USI -0.5 (-10.5) | 133.7 (+18.3) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USI -1.0 (-11.0) | 132.4 (+19.6) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USI -1.1 (-11.1) | 133.3 (+18.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USI -0.5 (-10.5) | 135.8 (+16.2) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | USI 70 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 23, 2026 | EIU 59 – 51 USI |
| Feb 21, 2025 | EIU 63 – 54 USI |
| Jan 25, 2025 | USI 64 – 60 EIU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | USI 78 – 74 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-10 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -10.7 (#327) | -9.9 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.51 (#347) | -1.66 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.06 (#346) | -2.10 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.404 (#329) | 0.435 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.5% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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