Betting Lines
| Spread | USI -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | USI -145 EIU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +9 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | USI -4.3 (-13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (-18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USI -3.4 (-12.4) | 137.4 (-20.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USI -2.3 (-11.3) | 135.4 (-18.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USI -2.4 (-11.4) | 135.5 (-18.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USI -2.2 (-11.2) | 134.8 (-17.8) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | USI 70 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 23, 2026 | EIU 59 – 51 USI |
| Jan 25, 2025 | USI 64 – 60 EIU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | EIU 81 – 71 USI |
| Jan 27, 2023 | USI 78 – 74 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-13 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#332) | -12.0 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#329) | -2.44 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.67 (#334) | -3.22 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#339) | 0.393 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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