I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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80–38 on winners spread MAE 8.8 118 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Cornell @ Princeton +2.8 157.8 67% 82–89 ✓
Columbia @ Pennsylvania +13.3 147.0 88% 65–74 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Rider +7.6 129.8 79% 61–82 ✓
Fairfield @ Quinnipiac +8.3 135.8 81% 51–66 ✓
Siena @ Manhattan -6.2 138.8 28% 66–71 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Iona +14.1 137.6 86% 51–81 ✓
VCU @ Saint Louis +2.0 141.8 62% 73–65 ✗
Canisius @ Niagara +5.1 134.3 71% 73–76 ✓
Boise State @ San Diego State +3.8 137.5 70% 52–72 ✓
Kent State @ Akron +1.0 136.0 55% 55–67 ✓
Fresno State @ UNLV +10.2 133.5 84% 82–79 ✗
Air Force @ Nevada +10.8 139.3 87% 52–72 ✓
Virginia @ Virginia Tech -0.4 135.7 55% 68–74 ✗
Kansas @ Iowa State +1.3 138.5 60% 53–68 ✓
UConn @ Georgetown -13.9 148.9 15% 68–62 ✓
UCF @ Cincinnati +4.8 141.6 72% 64–73 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ SE Louisiana +0.8 158.7 58% 83–72 ✗
Michigan State @ Rutgers +7.6 132.8 76% 55–61 ✓
Green Bay @ IU Indianapolis +3.8 137.6 67% 53–68 ✓
Davidson @ Massachusetts +2.9 143.2 65% 93–78 ✗
Texas Tech @ Baylor +7.4 146.4 79% 62–89 ✓
Lehigh @ Lafayette +1.2 129.9 49% 66–64 ✗
Wake Forest @ Notre Dame -4.1 152.4 32% 81–64 ✓
Georgia Tech @ NC State +14.5 145.6 89% 64–72 ✓
NJIT @ UMass Lowell +11.5 144.9 85% 61–90 ✓
New Hampshire @ Bryant +4.6 150.7 68% 46–70 ✓
Delaware State @ Morgan State +5.4 139.8 70% 65–75 ✓
Ole Miss @ Vanderbilt +2.7 140.6 65% 71–74 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ The Citadel -7.1 130.7 22% 79–59 ✓
Wagner @ Fairleigh Dickinson +1.9 142.0 53% 83–79 ✗
Stonehill @ St. Francis Brooklyn -0.5 133.6 41% 65–59 ✓
Cleveland State @ Oakland -2.2 146.6 44% 89–92 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Detroit Mercy +0.6 152.9 58% 52–85 ✓
Auburn @ Tennessee +11.3 131.7 86% 43–46 ✓
Butler @ Marquette +11.7 145.6 88% 52–60 ✓
TCU @ Oklahoma State +1.8 139.8 66% 73–79 ✓
Tulane @ Memphis +7.1 160.3 78% 90–89 ✗
Evansville @ UIC +7.3 142.2 78% 61–70 ✓
Florida State @ Louisville -2.8 143.2 42% 81–78 ✓
UMBC @ Maine -0.3 144.9 49% 49–84 ✗
Navy @ Holy Cross -3.6 138.1 31% 86–68 ✓
Duquesne @ George Washington -0.3 154.4 46% 93–67 ✓
Winthrop @ Radford +7.2 137.0 79% 66–69 ✓
Presbyterian @ Gardner-Webb +11.0 130.9 83% 48–56 ✓
Campbell @ Longwood +5.4 134.1 73% 50–74 ✓
Chattanooga @ Western Carolina -1.0 148.4 47% 68–83 ✗
VMI @ Mercer +7.1 136.4 79% 54–80 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Ohio +10.6 155.7 84% 68–78 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Sacred Heart +2.7 139.2 63% 65–78 ✓
Southern Miss @ Georgia State -8.8 134.4 24% 79–71 ✓
North Dakota @ South Dakota +2.8 147.2 62% 86–72 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ William & Mary -5.5 135.1 28% 70–63 ✓
Charleston @ Delaware -5.4 148.1 27% 84–67 ✓
Elon @ Northeastern +4.8 138.9 67% 74–73 ✗
Drexel @ Monmouth -6.9 131.5 26% 67–69 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Stetson +11.2 156.5 86% 80–99 ✓
Chicago State @ Hartford -8.2 136.6 20% 62–49 ✓
Illinois @ Iowa +2.5 155.2 70% 79–81 ✓
George Mason @ Loyola Chicago -3.3 140.5 38% 61–69 ✗
Buffalo @ Western Michigan -3.6 152.8 39% 85–76 ✓
Miami @ Clemson +1.0 150.2 54% 78–74 ✗
Vermont @ UAlbany -7.7 136.9 18% 87–68 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Samford +6.6 143.4 77% 62–73 ✓
Saint Francis @ Merrimack +1.6 134.7 59% 66–70 ✓
South Alabama @ UL Monroe -1.8 139.6 47% 72–64 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Arkansas State -0.5 140.3 46% 57–73 ✗
North Dakota State @ South Dakota State +5.4 145.0 77% 85–90 ✓
Western Illinois @ Omaha +0.0 145.0 51% 75–72 ✗
Arkansas @ South Carolina -13.1 136.4 13% 65–63 ✓
Purdue @ Indiana +1.2 136.8 73% 74–79 ✓
Alabama @ LSU -14.3 146.3 14% 79–69 ✓
Texas @ Kansas State +2.0 151.7 58% 69–66 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ Charlotte -2.8 128.3 42% 67–52 ✓
SMU @ East Carolina +1.4 143.9 63% 72–77 ✓
Colgate @ American University -2.3 139.9 41% 60–61 ✗
Murray State @ Indiana State +5.3 151.4 73% 56–99 ✓
UTEP @ Western Kentucky +2.0 136.8 62% 69–74 ✓
Florida International @ UAB +11.9 151.3 84% 72–76 ✓
Norfolk State @ Hampton -8.8 145.7 18% 83–71 ✓
UNC Asheville @ South Carolina Upstate -4.2 139.5 34% 70–76 ✗
James Madison @ App State -2.5 141.5 37% 63–57 ✓
Stony Brook @ Hofstra +13.7 138.0 87% 58–79 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Bellarmine +2.5 131.7 62% 64–71 ✓
Queens University @ Austin Peay -5.0 143.1 33% 70–69 ✓
Grambling @ Alabama State -6.0 133.9 26% 73–60 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Tennessee Tech -0.4 155.4 50% 80–82 ✗
Morehead State @ Southern Indiana +3.7 144.8 56% 71–66 ✗
Tennessee State @ Eastern Illinois -0.6 148.9 49% 65–61 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Little Rock -4.1 148.2 34% 84–81 ✓
UT Martin @ Lindenwood -3.2 148.1 36% 75–80 ✗
St. John's @ Xavier +9.7 166.1 83% 71–96 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alcorn State +4.8 138.4 69% 67–70 ✓
Boston University @ Loyola Maryland -1.2 131.1 41% 68–67 ✓
Illinois State @ Belmont +7.6 143.6 80% 75–90 ✓
Syracuse @ Boston College -2.1 140.5 44% 77–68 ✓
Incarnate Word @ LSU New Orleans -0.7 146.7 38% 78–70 ✓
Sam Houston @ UT Arlington -10.3 133.7 18% 58–70 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Bowling Green +1.9 151.3 63% 86–78 ✗
Idaho @ Sacramento State +5.7 139.8 75% 82–76 ✗
Liberty @ Lipscomb -6.1 135.0 30% 64–69 ✗
Jacksonville @ North Florida -0.2 138.7 48% 58–65 ✗
McNeese @ East Texas A&M +5.8 137.9 75% 58–60 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Tarleton State +6.8 147.9 75% 68–65 ✗
Columbia @ Princeton +16.0 148.0 89% 66–88 ✓
Bradley @ Northern Iowa -3.5 140.7 36% 77–69 ✓
Yale @ Dartmouth -9.8 142.5 19% 72–53 ✓
Cornell @ Pennsylvania -0.3 156.6 50% 86–92 ✗
Brown @ Harvard +3.9 136.9 68% 68–65 ✗
UTSA @ Middle Tennessee +11.3 143.3 87% 60–84 ✓
Missouri @ Mississippi State +2.6 141.9 67% 52–63 ✓
Wofford @ Furman +11.5 153.3 87% 67–80 ✓
St. Thomas @ Denver +0.1 148.1 48% 68–57 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Montana State +10.5 145.5 86% 62–75 ✓
Florida A&M @ Texas Southern +8.2 135.3 75% 76–69 ✗
Southern @ Alabama A&M -5.2 142.4 29% 61–82 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Jackson State +8.6 138.0 76% 82–78 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Prairie View A&M +9.0 138.6 78% 60–58 ✗
North Carolina @ Duke +4.8 143.3 74% 57–63 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.