Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | AKR -111 KENT -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +12 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | KENT -0.5 (+12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -0.9 (+11.1) | 136.3 (-14.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -1.0 (+11.0) | 133.8 (-11.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -1.0 (+11.0) | 134.7 (-12.7) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -1.0 (+11.0) | 136.0 (-14.0) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | AKR 75 – 68 KENT |
| Feb 28, 2026 | AKR 92 – 70 KENT |
| Jan 30, 2026 | AKR 69 – 52 KENT |
| Mar 1, 2025 | AKR 77 – 72 KENT |
| Feb 1, 2025 | AKR 85 – 71 KENT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 15-3 |
| Home | 15-1 | 15-0 |
| Away | 5-6 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#104) | 8.4 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#102) | 1.86 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#120) | 2.12 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#110) | 0.586 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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