Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | KSU +110 TEX -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +3 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | KSU -0.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (-17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -2.1 (-5.1) | 147.0 (-12.0) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -2.0 (-5.0) | 151.6 (-16.6) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -2.0 (-5.0) | 151.7 (-16.7) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -1.5 (-4.5) | 152.6 (-17.6) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2024 | KSU 78 – 74 TEX |
| Feb 20, 2024 | TEX 62 – 56 KSU |
| Jan 4, 2023 | KSU 116 – 103 TEX |
| Jan 19, 2022 | KSU 66 – 65 TEX |
| Jan 5, 2022 | TEX 70 – 57 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 29-9 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 16-1 | 17-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 13.4 (#20) | 16.6 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.24 (#5) | 3.07 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.69 (#8) | 3.68 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#7) | 0.633 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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